Komès mondyal keratin tomat nan 2020/2021

Most of the sector's growth is based on "low concentration" products
Two dynamic forces are currently driving the world trade in tomato pastes: firstly, the countries that have historically been processing countries are losing ground as they compete with the rest of the world; secondly, exports of "low-concentration" products are the only ones to record significant progress.

The most recent world trade estimates put the amount of tomato paste exported over the July 2020–June 2021 marketing year at around 3.46 million metric tonnes. While obviously slightly lower (-1 percent ) than the record level of operations reported the previous year (2019/2020, with 3.51 million mT), the volumes shipped last year appear to have capitalized significantly on the gain made during the Covid pandemic crisis. The 2020/2021 result is indeed 2.5 percent higher than the average of the three immediately preceding marketing years (2017/2018 to 2019/2020). However, although a comparison with the marketing years of the 2016/2019 period (excluding the record result of 2019/2020) shows an increase of nearly 5 percent , the 3.46 million mT traded last year also places 2020/2021 in the direct continuation of the progress recorded during those "pre-Covid" years. In other words, the 2020/2021 "score" is not yet outside the framework of "mechanical" progression, and it will therefore be necessary to wait for final results of the current 2021/2022 trading year – and probably the following ones – to know if the campaign carried out during the pandemic has really raised the average level of global dynamics or if it was only a one-off episode with no lasting effect on consumption habits on a global scale.

Pèfòmans TOP10 la
Sepandan, figi sa yo sèlman eksprime yon pati nan reyalite a nan komès etranje yo. De dinamik yo te kache evolisyon nan komès mondyal nan keratin tomat pou plizyè ane, efè yo ka deja obsève epi yo gen chans rive nan chanje figi a nan endistri nou an nan tèm long la, tou de komèsyal ak agrikòl.
Premye chanjman an konsène distribisyon aksyon mache nan mitan peyi yo ki se lidè nan rezèv mondyal la nan pat tomat. Pandan 15 ane ki sot pase yo, pati nan TOP10 peyi yo (yon lis ki ka varye de ane a ane) te diminye anpil, soti nan plis pase 96 pousan nan anbakman total atravè lemond nan 2006/2007 a mwens pase 92 pousan nan 2020/2021. Plizyè rezon ak mekanis pou chanjman sa a te deja fè kòmantè nan rapò nou yo, ki gen ladan envestisman ke kèk peyi te fè ki vle diminye depandans yo sou lòt sous ak depans yo sou pwovizyon ekstèn, atenn pwòp tèt ou-sifizans pa kèk nan. yo, e menm aparisyon nan nouvo pwosesis ak / oswa ekspòte peyi sou sèn entènasyonal la. N bès nan se siyifikatif, epi, depi pik la te rive nan 2006/2007, lavant etranje yo nan peyi TOP10 yo te sèlman grandi nan yon pousantaj mwayèn chak ane nan 2.3 pousan, sou yon mache mondyal ki te grandi nan yon pousantaj de 2.7 pousan chak ane. Li posib ke presyon k ap grandi nan ogmantasyon byen file nan depans yo, patikilyèman pou enèji ak machandiz (lanmè ak wout), pral aksantué devlopman sa yo ki sot pase yo nan ankouraje pwodiksyon lokal yo ak apwovizyone rejyonal yo. Malgre ke kontraksyon relatif nan plòg aplike nan yon mache mondyal ki ap devlope kounye a (tankou ensèten ke devlopman sa a ka), li te kontribye nan ranfòse klima a deja tansyon nan konpetisyon ant gwo jwè yo nan endistri a.

The rise of "low concentration" products

The growing share of the world market that is "escaping" the hold of historical leaders of the sector weighs all the more heavily on the operations of these big players for the fact that the decline is coupled with a gradual but profound change in the nature of the tomato products that are being requested on the market. For the last ten years, world trade in paste with a soluble solids content between 12 percent and 30 percent (customs codes 20029031, 20029039) and above 30 percent (customs codes 20029091 and 20029099) has tended to stagnate, the former at around an annual average of nearly 1.28 million mT of finished products, the latter at around 1.34 million mT. In both cases, the average annual growth (CAGR) is close to zero. At the same time, the quantities of tomato pastes with a soluble solids content of less than 12 percent (customs codes 20029011 and 20029019) have increased significantly, from 320,000 mT of finished products in 2011/2012 to 520,000 mT in 2020/2021, which is an average annual rate of approximately 5 percent . "Low concentration" products are now experiencing strong development, which is also due to the technical qualities of viscosity, color, etc. that technological advances in processing have made possible. The result of this new orientation of the world market is a sluggish growth in the quantities of raw material mobilized annually for worldwide trade, specifically affecting the countries and companies whose activity is most based on international exchanges. 
Dapre estatistik ofisyèl koutim yo, to kwasans mwayèn anyèl TOP10 ekspòtasyon keratin (eksprime nan ekivalan matyè premyè) sou dis dènye ane yo ka estime nan mwens pase 0.8 pousan. Estimasyon kantite tomat fre ki enplike yo te rapòte diminye soti nan 17.2 milyon dola mT a 17.5 milyon dola nan peryòd ki anba konsiderasyon an. Nan lòt mo, kontni an mwayèn solid soluble nan keratin nan mache atravè lemond sanble yo te pwogresivman diminye sou douz dènye ane yo, soti nan plis pase 28 pousan nan 2009/2010 a mwens pase 27 pousan nan 2020/2021. Chanjman sa a nan bon jan kalite a mande pa mache a koresponn ak yon diminisyon nan apeprè 6 pousan nan kantite yo mobilize, epi si li sèlman afekte pati nan komès mondyal la nan keratin tomat bay nan TOP10 peyi yo nan sektè a, enpak li se kanmenm mezirab. sou echèl mondyal la ak nan dekad ki sot pase a.

This strong trend is currently focusing the growth of trade overall almost exclusively on low-concentration products. But, given the relative weakness of its contribution to the whole, both in terms of finished products and in terms of fresh equivalents, the segment is clearly not in a position to guarantee strong growth for the sector. On the one hand, the rise of low-concentration products, together with the relative stagnation of the other categories (28/30% and >30 pousan), kontribye nan kenbe to a nan devlopman nan komès nan yon nivo ki ba anpil. Yon lòt bò, enpòtans sektè a an tèm de ekivalan tomat fre rete majinal e li te gen yon ti efè pou kounye a sou evolisyon kantite tomat fre absòbe nan komès mondyal la e, an konsekans, pa sektè pwosesis la an jeneral.

Kèk enfòmasyon adisyonèl
Evolisyon nan ekspòtasyon nan pwosesis prensipal yo ak ekspòte peyi yo.

Comparison of the average annual growth rates of exports of the different grades of paste, 

before and after 2011/2012: over the last nine years, the only segment to have shown 

significant growth is that of concentrated purées with a solids content of less than 12 degree Brix.